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The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.Puli Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.: It won the bid for the tenth batch of national centralized drug procurement. According to Puli Pharmaceutical, on December 12, Puli Pharmaceutical's meglumine gadolinium tetate injection (trade name: Puli Yingxian) and Posaconazole injection (trade name: Puli Posa) both won the bid for the tenth batch of national centralized drug procurement.Vegetable oil fell by 1.90% on the 13th, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract vegetable oil closed at 2,505, up or down by -1.90%, with a turnover of 535,800 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 21,545 lots. The total turnover of vegetable oil futures contracts was 593,700 lots, a decrease of 112,100 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 232,900 lots, a decrease of 3,819 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 254,200 lots, an increase of 687 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)

Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.Liao Min held video talks with the heads of sovereign credit rating teams of international credit rating companies. Recently, Vice Minister of Finance Liao Min held video talks with Mary Duron, global head of Moody's Sovereignty and Local Government Risk Department, and Roberto Xifeng-Arevalo, global head of Standard & Poor's Sovereignty Rating Team, respectively, to introduce the latest incremental policies of the China government, and exchanged views with each other on issues such as government debt management, fiscal sustainability, fiscal policy supporting the high-quality development of the real economy, and fiscal and taxation system reform. Both Moody's and Standard & Poor's said that the introduction of the Ministry of Finance was comprehensive and frank, which was very helpful for them to deepen their understanding of the macro policies of the China government, and they looked forward to more exchanges between the two sides. (Ministry of Finance)Japanese Prime Minister's Assistant: Japan must be prepared for Trump to impose tariffs. Japanese Prime Minister's Assistant Akihisa Nagashima said that Japan needs to be prepared for US President-elect Trump's threat to impose tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico, and adjust the supply chain to reduce the collateral damage suffered by Japanese enterprises. In an interview with the media on Thursday, Akihisa Nagashima said that he had "frank" communication with Trump team members on tariff issues during his recent visit to the United States. "I realized that Japan must be ready for Trump to implement his plan," he said. Akihisa Nagashima said that these tariff measures may encourage Japan to reduce its dependence on these three countries, where some Japanese companies operate and parts made in Japan are transported to these three countries to manufacture finished products for export to the United States. "Japanese companies will certainly try to restructure the supply chain," he pointed out. "This is economically reasonable." (Interface News)

CITIC Jiantou: It maintains the "Buy" rating of Orrit, and its product line continues to expand and enrich. According to the research report of CITIC Jiantou Securities, Orrit (605116.SH) is one of the leading companies in the field of characteristic APIs in China. In recent years, the company's product line has been continuously expanded and enriched, which has promoted the continuous growth of revenue. At the same time, the company actively laid out potential areas, and at the current point of time, we think that we can see the company's follow-up multiple catalysis: 1) The preparation business continues to be heavy: the market development of diqu progesterone tablets continues to advance, and the estradiol/estradiol-diqu progesterone composite packaging tablets have been declared for listing. It is expected that the continuous enrichment of new pipelines for the follow-up preparation business will promote the company's performance growth. 2) Smegrutide API: The construction of fermentation workshop and synthesis workshop has been completed, and the expansion and release of new capacity will promote the good growth of API business. 3) Small nucleic acid business: The 100 kg commercial production line landed in September, 2004, opening up the space for subsequent growth. Maintain the "buy" rating.Spain's CPI monthly rate in November was 0.2%, expected to be 0.2%, and the previous value was 0.20%. Spain's CPI annual rate in November ended at 2.4%, with an expected 2.4% and a previous value of 2.40%. Spain reconciled CPI monthly rate in November with the final value of 0%, the expected value of 0% and the previous value of 0.00%. Spain's November harmonized CPI annual rate ended at 2.4%, with an expected 2.4% and a previous value of 2.40%.Qinchuan Machine Tool: The company's machine tool business section can provide a variety of processing equipment for humanoid robot manufacturers. Qinchuan Machine Tool said on the interactive platform that the company's machine tool business section can provide a variety of processing equipment for humanoid robot manufacturers, such as gear grinder, planetary roller screw pair key processing equipment thread grinder, etc. The spare parts business section of the company has the foundation of R&D and manufacturing of planetary roller screw by-products. Now, it has gradually started small batch production and verified its application. In the future, according to the market demand, it will gradually improve the detection and processing means and build its capacity.